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How do professionals look at PLTR stock?

Palantir: a strong business whose stock has run past the analyst consensus

Trailing revenue is up 78.9% and earnings 295.2%, with a 54.5% free-cash-flow margin. At $208.67 the stock is 2% below its 52-week high, trades at 180x earnings, and sits above the $198.24 average target of 23 analysts. Coverage: 61% Buy, 27% Hold, 13% Sell.

Educational content only — not financial advice. Always do your own research. Fundamentals from restnvest (SEC 10-K, 2026-02-17) · Analyst data from Anachart (2026-10-14)
ai-infrastructuregovernment-softwaredata-integration
Three lenses on Palantir. Are they aligned?
The business Strong
Financial health 3/4 · Revenue +78.9% · FCF margin 54.5% · ROIC 25.8%
The stock Caution
Valuation 2/4 · P/E 180.2x · 2% below 52-week high · Timing 2/3
The analysts Bullish
23 analysts · 60.58% Buy · 26.92% Hold · 12.5% Sell · Avg target $198.24 (-5.0% upside)
A strong business priced above its own consensus target, with analysts still mostly bullish
restnvest scores the business 3 of 4 strong, with growth and cash generation at the top of its range and debt coverage the one open item. The stock lens is at caution: 2% from its high, 180x earnings, and timing flagged as overheating. Analysts lean bullish, 60.6% Buy across 23 firms, yet their $198.24 average target sits about 5% below the current price.
The case for the business
What the business fundamentals say
Strong

Changes over time: 1 dropped (Skywise aviation partnership with Airbus), 2 sustained, 3 evolved, 2 launched (AIP and the Palantir Ontology), across the 2022 to 2026 filings.

From the 10-K filing · 2026-02-17
Investment thesis — PLTR
Strong emphasis
Moderate
↗ Strategic themes
AI/MLData IntegrationCloud InfrastructureGovernment Contracts
◇ Competitive moats
Proprietary DataNetwork EffectsBrand Power
◎ Market opportunity

Palantir's platforms address a problem that grows with AI adoption: large organizations hold data scattered across systems and struggle to act on it in real time. Government agencies provide long-term contracts, while AIP, its generative AI platform, carries the push into commercial enterprises. The 10-K points to the Palantir Ontology, which links data, analytics and operations, as the layer that is hard for competitors to replicate.

⚙ Value creation

Palantir converts deep, multi-year deployments into cash. Over the trailing twelve months it earned a 49.0% net margin and a 54.5% FCF margin (free cash flow margin, the share of revenue left as usable cash). ROA (return on assets, profit earned per dollar the company owns) is 25.8%, used here in place of ROIC. The open item is debt safety: debt is near zero, but interest expense is not reported clearly enough to measure coverage.

Extracted from SEC 10-K. Full thesis on restnvest →
Stage 2 · Financial performance
Financial scorecard
3 of 4 strong
✓
Growth quality
Scalable Growth
✓
Profit quality
Cash-Backed Profits
✗
Debt safety
Low Debt, Coverage Unknown
✓
Owner value quality
Compounding Equity
Rev growth +78.9% · FCF margin 54.5% · ROIC 25.8%
Bottom line: Trailing revenue up 78.9% and earnings up 295.2%, a 54.5% free-cash-flow margin, near-zero debt and a 25.8% return on assets. restnvest scores three of four financial signals strong.
versus
The case for caution
What the stock price and analysts say
Caution
Stage 3 · Valuation
Valuation scorecard
2 of 4 sensible
✗ Price discipline
Euphoric Entry: 2% below the 52-week high and above the 200-day trend
✗ Price tag
Reasonable for Growth: P/E 180.2x against 3-year earnings growth of 100% a year
✓ Capital discipline
High Returns: 25.8% return on assets, share count up 0.3% over 4 quarters
✓ Doubling potential
Fast Track: historically doubled roughly every year
Stage 4 · Timing
Timing signals
2 of 3 supportive
✓
Trend
Strengthening structure
✓
Momentum
Aligned
Stretch
Overheating
Trend: Both highs and lows are improving, so the price structure is supportive
Momentum: Short-term pressure and the long-term baseline are both improving
Stretch: RSI (a 0 to 100 gauge of recent gains vs losses) at 76 with pressure heating: conditions look stretched
Analyst conviction · Anachart · 2026-10-14
Where do analysts stand — and how much runway is left?

Y = price target. X = days remaining on call (negative = past expected hit window). Bubble size = Anachart Performance Score. Dashed vertical = the expected-hit boundary.

Buy
Hold
Sell
Upper-left · Fading signal
High target, window closing.
Upper-right · Most interesting
Bold call, plenty of runway.
Lower-left · Stale or wrong
Modest target, window closed.
Lower-right · Cautious coverage
Modest target, time left.

Chart shows 10 of 23 covering analysts. See all on Anachart →

Bottom line: At $208.67 the stock trades above the $198.24 average target, 2% from its 52-week high and at 180x earnings, with an RSI of 76 flagged as Overheating. The consensus sits below today's price.

The reconciliation

Palantir's fundamentals sit near the top of restnvest's range. Over the trailing twelve months through Q2 FY2026, revenue grew 78.9% and earnings 295.2%, with a 49.0% net margin, a 54.5% free-cash-flow margin and a 25.8% return on assets. Debt safety is mixed only because interest expense is not reported clearly enough to measure coverage; debt-to-equity is 0.00x. The tension is valuation: the stock is 2% below its 52-week high and above its 200-day trend, which restnvest labels a Euphoric Entry, at a P/E of 180.2x, and timing reads Overheating with an RSI of 76. Analysts have moved toward the bulls since April: 60.58% Buy, 26.92% Hold and 12.5% Sell across 23 firms. Gil Luria of D.A. Davidson, the top visible performance score at 9.43, rates it Buy at $250, as does Karl Keirstead of UBS. Gabriela Borges of Goldman Sachs raised her Hold target to $230 from $188 on Oct 8. Thomas Blakey of Cantor Fitzgerald holds at $156 with 8 of 8 past targets met, and Brent Thill of Jefferies rates it Sell at $80. Seven of the ten visible targets sit above the current price, but the low end pulls the $198.24 average about 5% below it. Data notes: metrics are restnvest's trailing figures, ROA stands in for ROIC, performance scores are Anachart's own, and Q3 results due Nov 2 will update these numbers.

Dive deeper into the fundamentals

See Palantir's full 6-stage analysis on restnvest →
Sources
Fundamentals: restnvest — SEC 10-K, 2026-02-17. | Analysts: Anachart — 2026-10-14.
This is educational content only — not financial advice.