Revenue +7.3%. Earnings +18.8%. Financial Scorecard: 2 of 4 strong, with Profit Quality flagged Weak — Walmart runs on a 3.1% profit margin and a 1.0% free cash flow margin. P/E 41.8. 11% below the 52-week high. 27 analysts: 98% Buy, 2% Hold, 0% Sell — average target $136.09 vs current $120.27. Hit ratio 92%, average 566 days to hit.
Walmart sells into the broadest possible consumer market — groceries, general merchandise, and health and wellness — with about 280 million customers shopping its 10,900 stores each week. Operations span 19 countries across three reportable segments. The expansion vector is digital: walmart.com, the Walmart+ membership program, and integrated last-mile delivery, all aimed at converting existing store traffic into higher-frequency, higher-margin online relationships without ceding the in-store base.
Walmart creates value through extreme scale economics rather than premium pricing. Its everyday-low-price and everyday-low-cost commitments compound over years as procurement leverage and logistics density widen the gap with smaller competitors. The model deliberately runs on thin margins — 3.1% profit margin, 1.0% free cash flow margin — and is judged on whether scale and capital discipline turn that thin slice into compounding shareholder value. A 24.1% return on equity reflects that combination of modest margins with high asset turnover and aggressive buybacks.
Y = price target. X = days remaining on call (negative = past expected hit window). Bubble size = Anachart Performance Score. Dashed vertical = the expected-hit boundary.
Chart shows 15 of 27 covering analysts. See all on Anachart →
Walmart's analyst coverage and its fundamental profile tell two stories that lean on the same idea underneath. The analyst story is the easier one: 98% Buy, 92% hit rate, average target 13% above the current price, and a coverage panel that has been raising targets through the recent pullback rather than cutting. By every measure of professional sentiment, this is one of the most agreed-on names in the market. The fundamental story is more textured. Revenue growth of 7.3% is solid at $725 billion in trailing revenue, and earnings growth of 18.8% is genuinely strong. Debt Safety reads Comfortable Coverage. But Profit Quality is flagged Weak for a reason — the business converts only 3.1% of revenue into net income and 1.0% into free cash flow. A 24.1% return on equity reflects scale and capital discipline (and significant buybacks); return on assets at 6.9% is the more conservative read. The stock has held up well — 11% off its 52-week high — and trades at 41.8 times trailing earnings. That multiple is the bridge between the two stories: it values Walmart as a quality compounder, exactly the way the analyst panel does, but it leaves little operational slack. The lone Hold rating (Stifel at $91, set in April 2025 and not updated since) sits 24% below the current price as a reminder that skeptics exist, even if they have gone quiet. For a long-term investor, the question is whether a 3% profit margin and a 1% free cash flow margin can carry a 42x earnings multiple.
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